Upgraded Earnings Outlook Might Change The Case For Investing In Bilibili (BILI)

December 25, 2025

  • Recently, Bilibili received an upgrade to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), alongside an 18.9% upward revision to its full-year earnings consensus estimate, signalling improved analyst confidence in the platform’s earnings outlook.

  • This shift in sentiment underscores how quickly changes in earnings expectations can reshape perceptions of Bilibili’s ability to convert its engaged user base into stronger profitability.

  • With analyst earnings estimates moving higher, we’ll now examine how this improved outlook affects Bilibili’s investment narrative and risk-reward balance.

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To own Bilibili, you need to believe its Gen Z focused ecosystem can keep deepening engagement and monetization while managing regulation, content costs, and intense competition. The Zacks Rank upgrade and higher earnings estimates validate recent profitability gains but do not fundamentally change the near term catalyst, which is whether Bilibili can sustain margin improvement without sacrificing growth. The biggest risk remains that rising content and creator costs outpace revenue growth, limiting earnings leverage even as sentiment improves.

The most relevant recent announcement here is Bilibili’s Q3 2025 results, where the company swung from a loss to net income of CNY 470.23m on higher revenue of CNY 7,685.46m. This shift to profitability helps explain why analyst earnings estimates have moved higher and why the market is watching closely to see if operating efficiency and cost discipline can be maintained as Bilibili continues investing in content and its user community.

Yet, for investors, the real question is whether rising content and creator monetization costs could quietly cap Bilibili’s earnings power over time…

Read the full narrative on Bilibili (it’s free!)

Bilibili’s narrative projects CN¥38.4 billion revenue and CN¥3.4 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 9.3% yearly revenue growth and about CN¥3.2 billion earnings increase from CN¥220.3 million today.

Uncover how Bilibili’s forecasts yield a $30.04 fair value, a 21% upside to its current price.

BILI 1-Year Stock Price Chart
BILI 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Six members of the Simply Wall St Community now value Bilibili between US$22.76 and US$36.84 per share, reflecting a wide range of expectations. Against that spread, the key question is whether recent profitability and higher earnings forecasts can offset concerns about rising content costs and competition, so it makes sense to weigh several contrasting viewpoints before deciding how Bilibili fits into your portfolio.

Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Bilibili – why the stock might be worth 8% less than the current price!

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes – extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Bilibili research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

  • Our free Bilibili research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual – the Snowflake – making it easy to evaluate Bilibili’s overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include BILI.

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