Is AbCellera Biologics (NASDAQ:ABCL) In A Good Position To Invest In Growth?
December 22, 2024
There’s no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.
So, the natural question for AbCellera Biologics (NASDAQ:ABCL) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its ‘cash runway’.
View our latest analysis for AbCellera Biologics
A company’s cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at September 2024, AbCellera Biologics had cash of US$643m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$198m. Therefore, from September 2024 it had 3.2 years of cash runway. There’s no doubt that this is a reassuringly long runway. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
Notably, AbCellera Biologics actually ramped up its cash burn very hard and fast in the last year, by 190%, signifying heavy investment in the business. While that’s concerning on it’s own, the fact that operating revenue was actually down 35% over the same period makes us positively tremulous. In light of the above-mentioned, we’re pretty wary of the trajectory the company seems to be on. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
Even though it seems like AbCellera Biologics is developing its business nicely, we still like to consider how easily it could raise more money to accelerate growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company’s cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year’s operations.
Since it has a market capitalisation of US$842m, AbCellera Biologics’ US$198m in cash burn equates to about 24% of its market value. That’s not insignificant, and if the company had to sell enough shares to fund another year’s growth at the current share price, you’d likely witness fairly costly dilution.
On this analysis of AbCellera Biologics’ cash burn, we think its cash runway was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. Even though we don’t think it has a problem with its cash burn, the analysis we’ve done in this article does suggest that shareholders should give some careful thought to the potential cost of raising more money in the future. Taking an in-depth view of risks, we’ve identified 1 warning sign for AbCellera Biologics that you should be aware of before investing.
Of course AbCellera Biologics may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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