Is Shanghai Environment Group Co., Ltd’s (SHSE:601200) Recent Price Movement Underpinned By Its Weak Fundamentals?

January 7, 2025

With its stock down 10% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Shanghai Environment Group (SHSE:601200). It seems that the market might have completely ignored the positive aspects of the company’s fundamentals and decided to weigh-in more on the negative aspects. Stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company’s financial performance. In this article, we decided to focus on Shanghai Environment Group’s ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company’s success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Environment Group

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Environment Group is:

5.3% = CN¥695m ÷ CN¥13b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The ‘return’ is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders’ equity, the company generated CN¥0.05 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we’ve learned that ROE is a measure of a company’s profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or “retain”, we are then able to evaluate a company’s future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don’t have the same features.

Shanghai Environment Group’s Earnings Growth And 5.3% ROE

At first glance, Shanghai Environment Group’s ROE doesn’t look very promising. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 5.3%, so we won’t completely dismiss the company. Having said that, Shanghai Environment Group’s five year net income decline rate was 3.9%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. So that’s what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.

So, as a next step, we compared Shanghai Environment Group’s performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 1.6% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:601200 Past Earnings Growth January 6th 2025

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company’s expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Shanghai Environment Group fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Shanghai Environment Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

When we piece together Shanghai Environment Group’s low three-year median payout ratio of 21% (where it is retaining 79% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company’s business may be deteriorating.

In addition, Shanghai Environment Group has been paying dividends over a period of six years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shanghai Environment Group can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company’s earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the company’s future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

 

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