A Look At American International Group’s Valuation As New CVC Partnership Reshapes Its Inv
January 27, 2026
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American International Group (AIG) has entered a new partnership with CVC that reshapes how AIG handles parts of its investment book, particularly legacy private equity holdings and future credit allocations.
Under the arrangement, AIG plans to contribute up to US$1.5b from its existing private equity portfolio into CVC’s private equity secondaries evergreen platform, becoming a cornerstone investor and providing immediate scale for that strategy.
Alongside this, AIG intends to allocate up to US$2b to separately managed accounts and funds run by CVC, with an initial US$1b expected to be deployed through 2026 into diversified private and liquid credit strategies.
For shareholders, the announcement is mainly about how AIG structures and sources returns from its investment portfolio, and how it aims to handle regulatory and capital efficiency considerations while managing risk across different asset classes.
See our latest analysis for American International Group.
AIG’s new arrangement with CVC lands at a time when the share price, now at US$73.79, shows mixed momentum, with a 1 day share price return of 2.03% but a 30 day share price return decline of 14.67%, and a 1 year total shareholder return decline of 0.97% versus a much stronger 121.01% total shareholder return over five years, hinting that recent weakness contrasts with longer term compounding.
If this shift in AIG’s investment mix has you thinking about where else capital might work harder, it could be worth scanning fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as a way to spot other ideas.
So with AIG trading at US$73.79, showing recent share price weakness but a much stronger five year total return and an apparent intrinsic discount, is there still a genuine opportunity here, or is the market already pricing in future growth?
With American International Group last closing at $73.79 against a narrative fair value of $86.95, the current setup hinges on how earnings, margins and capital discipline play out over time.
The acceleration of digitalization and artificial intelligence initiatives such as the Gen AI deployment across underwriting and claims positions AIG to enhance operational efficiency, improve underwriting precision, reduce fraud, and offer more tailored insurance products, supporting improved net margins and sustained earnings growth.
Curious what kind of revenue path, margin profile and future earnings power need to line up for that fair value to hold up? The narrative leans on a specific growth glide path, tighter profitability and a lower future earnings multiple than many peers. The full story connects those assumptions into one pricing case that is very different from today’s share price.
Result: Fair Value of $86.95 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, this depends on AIG containing catastrophe and liability loss trends and avoiding prolonged pricing pressure in key property and casualty lines, which could squeeze margins.
Find out about the key risks to this American International Group narrative.
Our fair value model suggests American International Group screens as good value at a P/E of 12x versus a fair ratio of 14.6x, yet it also looks a bit expensive against a peer average of 11x. That gap cuts both ways, so which crowd do you think has it right?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
If this version of the story does not sit right with you, or you prefer to rely on your own work and assumptions, you can build a custom view in just a few minutes with Do it your way.
A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding American International Group.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include AIG.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
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