A Look At MicroStrategy (MSTR) Valuation After New Bitcoin Losses And Higher Preferred Div
January 5, 2026
Strategy (MSTR) is back in focus after disclosing an unrealized loss of about US$17.4b on its bitcoin holdings, while simultaneously lifting its preferred dividend rate to 11% and adding more bitcoin to its balance sheet.
See our latest analysis for Strategy.
The stock’s recent moves have tracked Bitcoin’s swings, with a 3.43% 1 day share price return and a 52.14% 3 month share price decline. The 1 year total shareholder return of 58.54% contrasts with a very large 3 year total shareholder return near 8x and a strong 5 year gain. This suggests that long term momentum has been powerful even as shorter term sentiment has cooled.
If you are reassessing risk after Strategy’s latest Bitcoin update, it could be a good moment to scan high growth tech and AI stocks for other potential opportunities in related themes.
After a 2025 share price slump, a very large unrealized Bitcoin loss, and a shift to higher income for preferred holders, the key question is simple: is Strategy now trading below its true value, or is the market already accounting for future growth?
At a last close of US$157.16, Strategy is trading on a P/E of 6.1x, which screens as low compared to both peers and the wider US market.
The P/E ratio compares the company’s share price with its earnings per share, so a lower P/E can suggest the market is paying less for each dollar of current earnings.
For Strategy, several checks point in the same direction. The P/E of 6.1x is below the US market level of 19x, and it is also flagged as good value against peers and the broader software industry. Internal fair ratio work indicates that a P/E of 56.3x could be consistent with similar companies, which is a very large gap to where the shares currently sit.
Against software peers, that contrast is even sharper. The 6.1x P/E is well below the peer average of 57.1x and the US software industry average of 31.7x. This implies the market is pricing Strategy’s earnings at a steep discount to comparable companies and to the level the fair ratio suggests could be achievable if sentiment and assumptions moved closer to the group.
Explore the SWS fair ratio for Strategy
Result: Price-to-Earnings of 6.1x (UNDERVALUED).
However, you still need to weigh the concentrated Bitcoin exposure and the higher 11% preferred dividend, both of which could limit flexibility if conditions change.
Find out about the key risks to this Strategy narrative.
If you look at the numbers and reach a different conclusion, or simply prefer testing your own assumptions directly against the data, you can build a custom view of Strategy in just a few minutes with Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Strategy research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
If Strategy has you rethinking your exposure, do not stop here. Broaden your watchlist with focused stock ideas that match how you like to invest.
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Target value first and scan these 876 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that may be pricing in more pessimism than their cash flows and fundamentals suggest.
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Tap into secular tech trends by reviewing these 25 AI penny stocks positioned around artificial intelligence themes.
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Chase early stage potential with these 3564 penny stocks with strong financials that meet strict financial filters rather than pure speculation.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include MSTR.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
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