Agree Realty (ADC): Exploring Valuation as Investors Weigh Growth Versus Premium Pricing
November 1, 2025
Agree Realty (ADC) has seen steady activity in recent days, with investors analyzing its recent returns and steady fundamentals. The stock currently trades around $73, reflecting both shorter-term fluctuations as well as long-term growth trends in retail real estate.
See our latest analysis for Agree Realty.
Agree Realty’s share price has seen some ebb and flow over the past year, but continues to hold up well, capped off by a 2.96% total shareholder return for investors in the past twelve months. Momentum appears steady as management keeps delivering consistent fundamentals in a shifting retail landscape.
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With shares now below analyst targets and Agree Realty’s underlying growth solid, investors must ask whether the current price offers a discounted entry point or if the market has already factored in the company’s future prospects.
With the last close price at $73.01 and the most widely followed narrative placing fair value at $81.88, the narrative hints at upside potential compared to current trading levels, supported by sector trends and essential retail fundamentals.
Strong ongoing migration to suburban areas and robust demand for necessity-based retail space, as evidenced by record-high retailer demand for new brick-and-mortar locations, positions Agree Realty to maintain near-full occupancy and drive consistent rental revenue growth.
Want to know what’s fueling optimism? The narrative is built on fast earnings expansion, higher profit margins, and a future profit multiple typically seen with market leaders. There is a surprising combination of growth assumptions behind the analysts’ valuation. Are you curious what bold forecasts could be driving this projection?
Result: Fair Value of $81.88 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, heavy reliance on large tenants and ongoing development bring risks. Potential demand shifts or cost increases could challenge the bullish outlook.
Find out about the key risks to this Agree Realty narrative.
While the analyst narrative suggests Agree Realty is undervalued, a look at the common valuation multiple tells a different story. The company trades on a price-to-earnings ratio of 45.1x, which is higher than both the industry average of 26x and a fair ratio estimate of 37x. This gap means investors are currently paying a premium for expected growth, introducing downside risk if those expectations fall short. Does this premium truly reflect unique company strengths, or could it signal caution is warranted at current prices?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
If you think the analyst viewpoint doesn’t tell the full story or you’d rather draw your own conclusions from the numbers, it only takes a few minutes to craft your own perspective. Do it your way
A great starting point for your Agree Realty research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include ADC.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
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