AI Trade Puts Asian Economies In The Bitcoin Zone

May 27, 2026

Not since the darkest days of 1997 have South Korean markets gyrated like a seismometer detecting a big one.

Welcome to South Korea’s 2026, when, apparently, this is considered a good thing. Wednesday alone, the benchmark stock index of a top-15 economy surged 5% amid optimism that the artificial intelligence trade will continue to barrel forward and enrich the nation’s 51 million people. The Kospi index is up 90% so far this year — and it’s not even June.

Surely the folks at chipmaking giants SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics are feeling great. SK Hynix just joined the $1 trillion market capitalization club, becoming the third company to do so. On Wednesday alone, SK Hynix shares surged as much as 13%, pushing its 12-month gain past the 1,000% mark.

Who needs bitcoin when listed companies trade this erratically? Increasingly, AI chip makers are shooting up and down like meme stocks. Or like a financial EKG machine sensing huge palpitations.

Such volatility shouldn’t be normalized. The way the Kospi index is yo-yoing is becoming dangerous to Korea’s $1.9 trillion economy. Particularly given how Korea has come to resemble a giant leveraged bet on the AI trade, not just continuing but driving economic growth to higher highs.

After the events of the first quarter, it’s easy to see why President Lee Jae Myung might think AI is the answer to all Korea’s economic prayers. Despite weak domestic demand, rising inflation, and extreme uncertainty, Korean exports surged by around 40% year-on-year in the first quarter.

In the first 20 days of May, exports rose nearly 65% year-on-year, led by computing equipment (up 305%), semiconductors (up 202%), and petroleum products (up 46%), easily offsetting a 10% drop in auto exports.

AI, Team Lee hopes, will rid Seoul of the need to do the hard work of raising productivity, leveling corporate playing fields, empowering women and creating more economic space for startup companies to disrupt the economy. Perhaps Team Lee is right that AI is the miracle cure for all that ails his economy.

Yet succumbing to hubris is now more dangerous than ever. Much of the AI energy angling to transform Korea flows through the family-owned conglomerates that have lorded it over the economy for decades. This is sure to set back efforts to reduce the concentration of economic power in these so-called chaebols. Should the AI trade run out of gas, the fallout will be more spectacular for Korea than it ever needed to be.

This hubris is showing up virtually everywhere in Seoul. Lee’s Democratic Party, for example, has been mulling using AI profits to fund a “people’s dividend” to reduce inequality. This, however, seems more Band-Aid than recipe to raise Korea’s economic game.

Korea isn’t alone, of course. Taiwan’s stock market just overtook India to become the globe’s fifth largest. Only the U.S., China, Japan and Hong Kong sit higher. It’s quite a feat for an economy of just 23 million people. The economy that Taiwan just surpassed in stock market capitalization terms — India — has a population 60 times larger.

A decade ago, news that Korean auto exports fell 10% in a quarter would be something of a national crisis. But no problem these days. At one point this week, the Kospi was up 100% for 2026, putting it in league with the Nasdaq 100 Index’s 102% increase in 1999. That was just before the dot-com bubble burst.

There’s no telling whether Korea’s 216% jump over the last 12 months makes sense. But when major stock bourses routinely trade like cryptocurrencies or meme stocks, Asia might have a problem.

 

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