Amazon (AMZN): Assessing Valuation After Strong Q3 Earnings and Record Corporate Layoffs f

October 30, 2025

Amazon.com (AMZN) grabbed headlines with a combination of strong third-quarter earnings and the announcement of its largest-ever round of corporate layoffs. The company posted higher revenue and profits, while also signaling a fresh drive for efficiency and cost control.

See our latest analysis for Amazon.com.

Amazon’s upbeat earnings come on the heels of a year marked by bold moves in AI, fresh cloud deals, and a sweeping round of corporate layoffs. While the share price briefly dipped 3.2% after the announcement, the overall 1-year total shareholder return sits at a hefty 19.6%, and gains have compounded impressively over the past three years. Investors appear to be weighing near-term cost pressures against Amazon’s long-term growth engine, with recent news hinting at momentum building rather than fading.

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With shares rallying after a year of strong growth and ambitious restructuring, the key question is whether Amazon’s current price still offers value to investors, or if the market has already priced in its future potential.

With the narrative’s fair value for Amazon.com set at $234.75, last close still sits below this target, hinting at untapped potential and the possibility of further price movement. According to user Zwfis, the price currently leaves the door open for upside, but depends on a bullish thesis built from a series of quantitative projections and business milestones.

“Their E-commerce platform is the undisputed leader, especially with its robust options for customers and the scale of its logistics network. AWS is one of the best cloud services available to companies. With a growing need for this industry, it continues to validate this segment of the business.”

Read the complete narrative.

You would not believe the growth assumptions and future profit margins driving this price target. The narrative’s fair value is powered by ambitious expectations for both sales and profits. Think Amazon’s AI and cloud bets could fuel a new earnings surge? Step inside the full narrative and see how its forecast connects those dots.

Result: Fair Value of $234.75 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.

However, ongoing challenges in cloud growth and unclear updates on AI strategy could quickly shift sentiment if Amazon does not deliver on expectations.

Find out about the key risks to this Amazon.com narrative.

Looking at the price-to-earnings ratio, Amazon trades at 33.7 times earnings, which is well above the global multiline retail industry average of 21.4 times. This is also higher than its main peers at 41.9 times. However, when compared to its fair ratio of 39.2 times, Amazon begins to look better valued. These gaps highlight the risk that the market could suddenly rethink what Amazon is worth, especially if industry multiples start to shift. Are investors paying too much for future growth, or is the premium justified by Amazon’s scale and ambitions?

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

NasdaqGS:AMZN PE Ratio as at Oct 2025
NasdaqGS:AMZN PE Ratio as at Oct 2025

If these perspectives do not fully align with your view, you can dive into the numbers yourself and shape your own story for Amazon.com in just a few minutes, and Do it your way

A great starting point for your Amazon.com research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include AMZN.

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