Bitcoin and Ethereum see $90.5M leveraged long amid US-Iran tensions
May 2, 2026

## Market Snapshot
Bitcoin Price April 27-May 3 market shows 0.1% YES for reaching $94,000. The Bitcoin Price Above on May 3 market is at 99.8% YES for staying above $68,000. Ethereum April 30 market, not impacted by this news, is resolved.
## Key Takeaways
– The opening of a significant leveraged long position on Bitcoin and Ethereum by 0x049b suggests confidence in potential price increases. – Current geopolitical tensions, including the US-Iran conflict, contribute to high market volatility, despite the leveraged activities. – Market pricing for Bitcoin to stay above $68,000 by May 3 remains strong, reflecting current market resilience.
## Article Body
0x049b has initiated a substantial leveraged long position on Bitcoin and Ethereum, engaging $45.82 million in BTC and $44.67 million in ETH with a 20x leverage. This move occurs amid heightened geopolitical tensions involving the United States, Israel, and Iran, which have resulted in increased volatility across global markets. The ongoing conflict, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz, has led to oil supply shocks, favoring traditional safe havens like gold. Despite these conditions, Bitcoin and Ethereum have demonstrated resilience, recovering faster than equities. As of early May, Bitcoin remains above $68,000 while Ethereum trades near $2,260.
## Market Interpretation
The leveraged long position by 0x049b indicates a level of confidence in Bitcoin’s potential to maintain or increase its current price levels. This activity appears moderately consistent with supportive scenarios for Bitcoin remaining above $68,000 by May 3. However, due to ongoing geopolitical tensions, the impact of this market activity is considered moderate. The market appears to recognize both the potential for gains and the risks associated with the current geopolitical climate.
## What to Watch
Observers should monitor developments in the US-Iran conflict, as any resolution or escalation could impact market volatility. Key economic indicators such as US inflation data and central bank policy announcements may also influence market sentiment. Additionally, any significant movements in Bitcoin or Ethereum prices, or changes in market sentiment due to new geopolitical or economic developments, will be crucial to watch in the coming days.
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What Price Will Bitcoin Hit April 27 May 3
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 27-May 3 | 0.1% | — | — | View market → |
Bitcoin Above On May 3
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3 | 99.8% | — | — | View market → |
Ethereum Price On April 30
| Contract | Odds | Δ since publish | Volume 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30 | 100% | — | — | View market → |
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