Bitcoin at Historic Highs: What Next?

October 5, 2025

Markets

Share this article

By Omkar Godbole, AI Boost

Oct 5, 2025, 6:09 a.m.

Magnifying glass
  • BTC’s price chart shows potential resistance above $126,000.
  • Options market dynamics point to $135,000 and $140,000 as key levels.

This is an analysis post by CoinDesk analyst and Chartered Market Technician Omkar Godbole.

As bitcoin BTC$111,480.33 trades in uncharted territory near record highs, traders may be searching for cues on what comes next, especially key levels that could act as magnets or resistance points.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW

Don’t miss another story.Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today.See all newslettersBy signing up, you will receive emails about CoinDesk products and you agree to ourterms of useandprivacy policy.

Here are three important levels worth watching closely.

This level represents the upper boundary of the broadening or expanding range pattern that has been developing since mid-July. The potential resistance is defined by the trendline connecting the July 15 and Aug. 14 highs.

BTC's daily price chart in candlesticks format. (CoinDesk)

A reversal from this level could trigger a corrective pullback down toward the lower boundary of the range, represented by the trendline drawn from the Aug. 3 and Sept. 1 lows.

A breakout from the expanding range would shift focus to $135,000, where market makers currently hold a net long gamma position, according to activity in Deribit-listed options tracked by Amberdata.

When market makers are net long gamma, they tend to trade against the market direction – buying on dips and selling on rallies – to maintain their overall market-neutral exposure. Other things being equal, this hedging activity tends to dampen price volatility.

In other words, the $135,000 level could act as a resistance on the way higher.

Distribution of delaer/market maker gamma. (Amberdata)

Lastly, $140,000 stands out as key level, as data from Deribit shows the $140,000 strike call is the second-most popular on the exchange, holding a notional open interest of over $2 billion.

Notional open interest refers to the dollar value of the number of active or open options contracts at a given time.

Levels with large concentrations of open interest often act as magnets, drawing the price of the underlying asset toward them. A high open interest in call options suggests that many traders expect the spot price to approach or top that level.

At the same time, those who have sold these calls, often large institutions, have an incentive to keep the price below that strike. Their hedging and trading activity around that level can create resistance, making it harder for the price to break through.

Distribution of open interest in Deribit-listed BTC options. (Deribit Metrics)

AI Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

More For You

By CoinDesk Data

Sep 9, 2025

Combined spot and derivatives trading on centralized exchanges surged 7.58% to $9.72 trillion in August, marking the highest monthly volume of 2025

What to know:

  • Combined spot and derivatives trading on centralized exchanges surged 7.58% to $9.72 trillion in August, marking the highest monthly volume of 2025
  • Gate exchange emerged as major player with 98.9% volume surge to $746 billion, overtaking Bitget to become fourth-largest platform
  • Open interest across centralized derivatives exchanges rose 4.92% to $187 billion

More For You

By Shaurya Malwa, CD Analytics

1 hour ago

(CoinDesk Data)

Analysts note ascending channel formations and breakout targets toward $0.30–$0.40 if current support holds.

What to know:

  • Dogecoin rebounded to $0.26 after a sharp decline, with traders eyeing resistance at $0.30.
  • Large holders accumulated 2 billion DOGE over 72 hours, suggesting potential for a breakout.
  • Institutional participation confirmed by high trading volumes during the recent price recovery.

 

Search

RECENT PRESS RELEASES