An analyst has explained how a break beyond the 200-day moving average (MA) might put Bitcoin on the path to a top around the upper band of this indicator.

Bitcoin Mayer Multiple Currently Has Its Upper Band Located At $208,550

In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has discussed the Mayer Multiple of Bitcoin. The “Mayer Multiple” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the ratio between the BTC price and its 200-day MA. One way to interpret the metric is as a measure of the distance away that the asset’s value is from the 200-day MA.

Historically, the 200-day MA has served as a boundary between bullish and bearish trends for the cryptocurrency, so how far its price is from this important line can help indicate potential oversold and overbought conditions.

More specifically, a Mayer Multiple value of 2.4 or more has generally signaled that the asset is becoming overheated. Similarly, a value of 0.8 or under can suggest the coin may be due to a bounce back towards the 200-day MA.

Now, here is the chart shared by the analyst that shows the trend in the 200-day MA of Bitcoin, as well as lines corresponding to the 2.4 and 0.8 Mayer Multiple levels, over the past decade:

As is visible in the chart, Bitcoin has recently declined under the 200-day MA, situated at $86,900. This means that the Mayer Multiple has now dropped under the 1.0 mark.

The next potential support for the cryptocurrency could be located at $69,500, corresponding to the level where the Mayer Multiple would assume a value equal to 0.8.

BTC has witnessed a surge in the past day, so it’s currently closer to retesting the 200-day MA than falling back on this support. In the scenario that the asset goes on to retest this mark and successfully break above it, Martinez has noted that the stage might be set for a market top around $208,550.

This level, of course, correlates to the 2.4 Mayer Multiple level. So far in the current cycle, Bitcoin hasn’t made a single touch of this level. From the chart, it’s visible that the bull run in the second half of 2021 attained its peak far below the line, but the cryptocurrency still spent time around it during the first half of the year.

Given the precedence, it’s possible that the asset would hit this mark at least once in the remaining portion of the current cycle. It only remains to be seen, however, whether the pattern holds, considering the uncertainty in the form of tariffs that’s looming over the market.

BTC Price

Bitcoin has shown some sharp recovery during the last 24 hours as its price is back to $81,500 after a jump of over 6%.