Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Dips 0.9% as Heavy Volume Breakdown Tests Key Support

November 12, 2025

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Dips 0.9% as Heavy Volume Breakdown Tests Key Support

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BTC pulls back from session peaks above $105,300 with exceptional selling pressure before finding footing near $102,000 psychological threshold.

By CD Analytics, Siamak Masnavi

Nov 13, 2025, 3:19 a.m.

BTC-USD One-Month Price Chart
  • BTC dropped from $103,177 to $102,203, wiping out gains after touching $105,342 session peak.
  • Trading volume spiked 138% above 24-hour average during decisive midday Tuesday breakdown.
  • Price found stability in $101,500-$102,200 band during final eight hours as activity cooled.

According to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis data model, bitcoin BTC$102,056.41 retreated in measured fashion during Tuesday’s trading session, sliding from $103,177 to $102,203 while carving out clear bearish structure after probing session highs above $105,300.

The world’s most valuable cryptocurrency moved within a hefty $3,289 range, with the critical breakdown materializing at 2:00 PM on massive volume of 27,579 BTC —138% above the 24-hour moving average.

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Trading opened with BTC challenging resistance near $105,050 before momentum shifted decisively lower through 4:00 PM UTC on Nov. 12 as consecutive lower highs emerged. Price action steadied during the final eight hours within a tight $101,500-$102,200 consolidation band as selling pressure eased on shrinking volume.

Recent hourly data shows choppy action between $101,940-$102,475, marking a modest bounce from session lows on declining turnover averaging just 165 BTC versus the 24-hour mean above 400. Price posted multiple failed breakout attempts above $102,400 resistance with repeated rejections, while buyers stepped in to defend the $102,000 psychological barrier across three separate tests.

The cryptocurrency’s pullback coincided with robust institutional flows, as spot bitcoin ETFs posted $524 million in net inflows Tuesday — the largest daily total since Oct. 7. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust captured $224.2 million while Fidelity’s FBTC drew $165.8 million, signaling sustained institutional appetite despite technical weakness.

On-chain metrics reveal distribution pressures beneath surface stability. Exchange inflow data shows roughly 7,500 BTC moving to Binance daily on a 30-day basis —the highest rate since March — pointing to ongoing profit-taking activity. Short-term holders with cost basis near $112,000 drive significant selling pressure, having remained underwater for approximately one month.

Mining fundamentals offer support against distribution concerns, with hash rate momentum scores holding positive territory and trending higher. This indicates continued network strength and miner confidence, contrasting with typical capitulation patterns that accompany major corrections.

Support/Resistance: Primary support holds at $102,000 psychological level with initial backstop around $101,450; resistance confirmed near $105,050 with secondary barrier at $107,000

Volume Analysis: Exceptional selling volume of 27,579 BTC during breakdown phase, declining to 165 BTC average during recent consolidation period

Chart Patterns: Bearish structure established with consecutive lower highs through 4:00 PM, followed by stabilization within $101,500-$102,200 trading range

Targets & Risk/Reward: Break below $102,000 targets $100,600-$101,200 zone; recapture of $105,050 opens pathway toward $107,400 resistance level

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

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