Bitcoin Surge Ahead? Treasury Forecasts $2T Stablecoin Market

June 12, 2025

Trump policies spark bullish Bitcoin sentiment

Bitcoin has encountered strong selling pressure near the $110,000 level, demonstrating both its recent strength and the market’s caution. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s bullish prediction about stablecoins hitting a $2 trillion market cap adds another major narrative to watch.

  • Resistance at $110K–$110.5K
    As FXEmpire reports, Bitcoin repeatedly failed to break above $110,500, with clear rejections at that level.
  • Key Support Levels:
    • $107,000 aligns with the 50-day EMA, making it an important testing zone.
    • $100,000 marks a long-standing floor near the 50-day EMA from FXEmpire.
      Below this, a dip toward the 200-day EMA becomes plausible.
  • Technical Outlook:
    A breakout above $112K could pave the way for a move toward $120,000. Alternately, a sharp pullback to retest support may occur.

Bitcoin Market Drivers & Context

  1. Stablecoin Explosion on the Horizon
    Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent predicts the stablecoin market could grow from just over $250 billion today to $2 trillion within a few years. This would significantly boost demand for U.S. Treasuries and bolster crypto infrastructure.
  2. Institutional and On-Chain Signals
    • Bitcoin futures open interest is near record highs (~$75 billion) with recent long/short ratios shifting bearish—signaling increased speculative positioning.
    • Large “whales” continue accumulating; realized cap among whale wallets recently hit a record $113.7 billion.
  3. Macro Landscape
    Easing inflation, expectations of Fed rate cuts, and a rising ETF presence have been catalyzing momentum.
Scenario Trigger Target Levels
Bullish Breakout BTC clears $112K–$115K $120K, then $137K
Pullback & Rally Rejection near $110K, support holds $107K retest
Deeper Correction Breach of $107K & 50‑day EMA Possible dip lower
  • Monitor critical levels ($110K, $112K breakout threshold; $107K and $100K supports).
  • Use measured risk management—consider stop-losses near support zones and watch for on-chain metrics.
  • Track stablecoin legislation and treasury demand—a formal framework could fuel broader crypto adoption.

Bitcoin remains in a pivotal consolidation range between $107K and $112K. A breakout could spark a powerful rally, especially on the backdrop of a swelling stablecoin ecosystem.

However, failure to climb higher may usher a retracement—making technical vigilance essential in the near term.

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