Bitcoin Surge Ahead? Treasury Forecasts $2T Stablecoin Market
June 12, 2025
Bitcoin has encountered strong selling pressure near the $110,000 level, demonstrating both its recent strength and the market’s caution. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s bullish prediction about stablecoins hitting a $2 trillion market cap adds another major narrative to watch.
- Resistance at $110K–$110.5K
As FXEmpire reports, Bitcoin repeatedly failed to break above $110,500, with clear rejections at that level. - Key Support Levels:
- $107,000 aligns with the 50-day EMA, making it an important testing zone.
- $100,000 marks a long-standing floor near the 50-day EMA from FXEmpire.
Below this, a dip toward the 200-day EMA becomes plausible.
- Technical Outlook:
A breakout above $112K could pave the way for a move toward $120,000. Alternately, a sharp pullback to retest support may occur.
Bitcoin Market Drivers & Context
- Stablecoin Explosion on the Horizon
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent predicts the stablecoin market could grow from just over $250 billion today to $2 trillion within a few years. This would significantly boost demand for U.S. Treasuries and bolster crypto infrastructure. - Institutional and On-Chain Signals
- Bitcoin futures open interest is near record highs (~$75 billion) with recent long/short ratios shifting bearish—signaling increased speculative positioning.
- Large “whales” continue accumulating; realized cap among whale wallets recently hit a record $113.7 billion.
- Macro Landscape
Easing inflation, expectations of Fed rate cuts, and a rising ETF presence have been catalyzing momentum.
Scenario | Trigger | Target Levels |
---|---|---|
Bullish Breakout | BTC clears $112K–$115K | $120K, then $137K |
Pullback & Rally | Rejection near $110K, support holds | $107K retest |
Deeper Correction | Breach of $107K & 50‑day EMA | Possible dip lower |
- Monitor critical levels ($110K, $112K breakout threshold; $107K and $100K supports).
- Use measured risk management—consider stop-losses near support zones and watch for on-chain metrics.
- Track stablecoin legislation and treasury demand—a formal framework could fuel broader crypto adoption.
Bitcoin remains in a pivotal consolidation range between $107K and $112K. A breakout could spark a powerful rally, especially on the backdrop of a swelling stablecoin ecosystem.
However, failure to climb higher may usher a retracement—making technical vigilance essential in the near term.
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