Bitcoin’s 200-Week Moving Average is Signalling Bull Market Cues, Says Adam Back

May 4, 2026

Bitcoin’s 200-week moving average has climbed above $60,000. Blockstream CEO Adam Back flagged the level as confirmation that BTC remains in a structural bull market.

The threshold ranks among the most-watched long-term technical signals in crypto. The line averages nearly 4 years of weekly closes and has served as a price floor at prior cycle bottoms.

Why the 200-Week Moving Average Carries Weight

Few metrics command as much attention from long-term holders as the 200-day moving average. The line filters short-term volatility to expose the broader uptrend, which has shifted steadily higher across every prior cycle.

Each cross above a new round-number threshold tends to draw fresh commentary from cycle-watchers tracking macro shifts in supply absorption.

Bitcoin has held above the indicator during each of its three bear markets since 2015. Brief dips during late-cycle washouts gave way to renewed upward momentum each time.

The 2022 bear market briefly broke that pattern. BTC closed weekly under the line for the first time before reclaiming it. Crossing $60,000 marks a sharp climb from the indicator’s near-$40,000 reading in late 2024.

Recovery From April Lows Adds Momentum

BTC traded near $80,000 on Monday, up roughly 2.3% over 24 hours according to CoinGecko data. The asset has clawed back a meaningful portion of losses sustained during April.

Broader risk-asset weakness had pulled the price well below current levels. Trading volume has held steady through the recovery, suggesting that buy-side interest extends beyond a short-term technical bounce.

Long-term holders and corporate treasuries continue to absorb supply at these prices. Blockstream chief Back argues that public companies holding Bitcoin balance sheets are positioning for a shift away from fiat.

Adam Back has also pushed back on the alarm about miners rotating to AI workloads. He frames the shift as an arbitrage that resolves through hashrate dynamics rather than a structural threat to network security.

Whether the $60,000 threshold proves durable depends on demand sustaining through the next quarter. Sustained strength would extend a run already tied to deeper on-chain signals and a broader bullish phase across Bitcoin markets.

 

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