Bond Traders Want a Recession Stock Investors Don’t

April 2, 2025

It’s so-called Liberation Day, the day when US President Donald Trump is expected to announce the most expansive trade restrictions in a century. The announcement is slated to take place after US financial markets close but, apparently, his team is still hashing out the details as I write this. Investors have already made up their minds, with bonds trading as if a recession is a major risk and stocks doing their darnedest not to price that in. 

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