What Happened?

A number of stocks jumped in the afternoon session after oil prices and yields fell as the Trump Administration announced a new peace deal that would lead to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Consumer internet companies are priced on future earnings.

When the 10-year yield dropped to 4.41%, the discount rate applied to forward cash flows decreased, lifting present values across the group. Below the valuation mechanics, there is a demand signal: platforms that earn advertising revenue depend on consumer willingness to spend, which is directly connected to confidence levels and the discretionary income freed up by lower petrol prices.

Advertisers who reduced budgets during the period of macro uncertainty begin reallocating when the environment stabilizes. The peace deal also eases the operational risk for companies with advertising clients and user bases across the Asia-Pacific and Middle East regions.

The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks.

Among others, the following stocks were impacted:

• Consumer Subscription company Bumble (NASDAQ:BMBL) jumped 6.4%. Is now the time to buy Bumble? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free.

• Social Networking company Snap (NYSE:SNAP) jumped 6.8%. Is now the time to buy Snap? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free.

• Gig Economy company Lyft (NASDAQ:LYFT) jumped 4.7%. Is now the time to buy Lyft? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free.

Zooming In On Snap (SNAP)

Snap’s shares are very volatile and have had 27 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The biggest move we wrote about over the last year was 10 months ago when the stock dropped 17.7% on the news that the company reported disappointing second-quarter financial results, driven by a revenue miss and a critical error on its advertising platform.

The social media firm posted revenue of $1.34 billion, which fell short of analysts’ $1.35 billion forecast. A key metric, average revenue per user (ARPU), which measures how much money the company made from each user, also disappointed at $2.87, below the expected $2.90. Chief Executive Evan Spiegel explained that a flawed update to its advertising platform caused ad campaigns to be priced substantially lower than intended.

Adding to investor concerns, the company’s net loss widened from the prior year, and it announced the departure of its senior vice president of engineering. While daily active users grew, the positive user numbers were overshadowed by the company’s struggles to effectively monetize its platform.