Could Rising Intel Investment Spur a New Demand Cycle for KLA (KLAC) Equipment?

September 23, 2025

  • Recent industry developments saw Nvidia announce a US$5 billion investment in Intel, with both companies collaborating on innovative products, and SoftBank following with a US$2 billion investment in Intel, fueling heightened optimism across the U.S. semiconductor industry.

  • Although KLA was not directly involved in these transactions, the increased capital flowing to major chipmakers like Intel may indirectly benefit KLA by driving expectations for higher demand in semiconductor equipment and process control solutions.

  • We’ll explore how the surge in capital investment at key chipmakers could influence KLA’s investment outlook and future demand trends.

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To feel comfortable as a KLA shareholder, you need to believe that demand for process control and metrology tools will rise as chipmakers accelerate investments in advanced manufacturing. The latest influx of US$5 billion from Nvidia and US$2 billion from SoftBank into Intel is expected to spur industry-wide capital spending, but its short-term impact on KLA’s earnings outlook still hinges most on the pace of wafer fab equipment investments, a core demand driver. KLA’s biggest risk remains potential revenue pressure from ongoing normalization in China and heightened tariff exposure, which could outweigh near-term optimism if conditions deteriorate.

Among recent company announcements, KLA’s robust fiscal year 2025 results stand out: revenue climbed to US$12,156.16 million with net income of US$4,061.64 million, and dividend payouts increased. This performance reinforces the core catalyst of rising process control intensity at advanced logic, memory, and packaging customers, areas that could be fueled further by new capital entering U.S. chipmakers and ongoing expansion of KLA’s installed base.

By contrast, investors must be aware that further escalation in global tariffs could create…

Read the full narrative on KLA (it’s free!)

KLA’s narrative projects $14.8 billion in revenue and $5.3 billion in earnings by 2028. This requires 6.9% yearly revenue growth and a $1.2 billion increase in earnings from the current $4.1 billion level.

Uncover how KLA’s forecasts yield a $929.68 fair value, a 13% downside to its current price.

KLAC Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025
KLAC Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025

Six Simply Wall St Community members estimate fair value between US$576,800 and US$929,700, offering a wide span of opinions. As fresh capital flows into major chipmakers, how KLA leverages its position in advanced packaging will remain key, explore several viewpoints to see how expectations differ.

Explore 6 other fair value estimates on KLA – why the stock might be worth as much as $929.68!

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes – extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your KLA research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.

  • Our free KLA research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual – the Snowflake – making it easy to evaluate KLA’s overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include KLAC.

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