Ethereum Holding Above $1,600—Breakout Or Breakdown Ahead?

April 13, 2025

  • Ethereum at $1,617, bouncing back from $1,450, touching resistance around $1,625
  • A break above $1,690 could propel ETH to $2,000, supported by bullish momentum.
  • ETH trades below Actual Price, signaling the potential end of the investor capitulation phase.

Ethereum is displaying unexpected resilience despite market turbulence and global uncertainty. As of April 13, ETH is trading around $1,617, recovering from recent lows near $1,450. This bounce suggests bullish interest is returning, and traders are watching closely as Ethereum tests significant resistance zones just ahead.

Technical charts reveal Ethereum pushing against a 50-day EMA and a downtrend line at $1,625. These levels have rejected previous advances. But a successful breakout here could see ETH move to $1,690, with bullish momentum potentially driving a push to the psychological $2,000 mark.

Currently, Ethereum is trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating potential for an imminent breakout. Price has recently tested $1,646 resistance. If buyers can push through this barrier, ETH could quickly target $1,695, $1,735, and potentially $1,802, supported by technical momentum and renewed investor confidence.

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The downside comes with traders watching key supports in the case of a rejection. The first support is around $1,632, with key zones at $1,555 and $1,501. These will cap declines if a return to selling pressure occurs. Traders are advised to remain neutral until a clear move.

Cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez believes Ethereum might be reaching a macro bottom. He referenced Entity-Adjusted Dormancy Flow, which is currently below one million—traditionally a bottom indicator. The metric indicates that long-term holders are not selling aggressively, which means ETH may be undervalued and potentially ready for a long-run rebound.

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Source: X

Over the past year, Ethereum has declined by more than 50%, currently hovering near $1,557. CryptoQuant contributor theKriptolik highlighted that ETH has dipped below its Actual Price—a sign that capitulation may be ending. Such conditions often present prime opportunities for strategic accumulation by seasoned investors.

While some analysts predict a bullish breakout, others are not convinced. Martinez cautioned that intensified selling may push ETH down to $1,200. Ethereum started trading at $1,520 yesterday and traded sideways during the day. There was a small uptrend at an early stage, indicated by a golden cross on MACD, moving ETH to $1,577.  However, each attempt to push higher triggered a quick RSI reaction, nudging toward overbought levels and prompting brief downtrends.

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Source: X

As the RSI entered overbought territory, a downtrend followed, yet Ethereum managed to secure a higher support level at $1,546. This shows that buyers are stepping in sooner during pullbacks, forming an uptrend within the current range, signaling a potential breakout attempt.

If bulls can break through the $1,625–$1,690 resistance range with force, Ethereum could reclaim the $2,000 mark, a level not seen since early March. A strong close above this zone may shift sentiment and draw in capital from the sidelines, reigniting a broader rally.

Read More: Ethereum Signals 20% Upside as Whales Show Renewed Confidence