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This time, the setup again coincides with ETH bouncing strongly from its multi-year accumulation zone at around 0.020–0.025 BTC, reinforcing its role as a long-term support base.
Still, ETH/BTC faces immediate hurdles. The pair is currently testing its 200-week EMA (~0.045 BTC), a level that triggered bearish rejections in both 2021 and the present move.
In the previous cycle, ETH initially failed to clear this resistance but later broke higher, accelerating its climb toward the 0.08–0.09 BTC area. A similar path may be unfolding now, though the weekly RSI’s overbought reading warns of a possible pullback before any breakout attempt.
As shown above, overbought conditions at the same time as a Golden Cross often create short-term turbulence. But the broader trend remains favorable if ETH holds its mid-term moving averages.
Should ETH/BTC decisively break and hold above the 200-week EMA, the pair could aim for 0.06 BTC as an interim target, mirroring the first leg of the 2020–21 rally.
From there, the ultimate upside lies around 0.087 BTC, the prior cycle peak and the key resistance to watch in the months ahead.
