Ethereum Rebounds as Bullish Signals Point Toward $2,800

June 16, 2025

Ethereum recovers from key support levels as open interest jumps 4.75%, and short liquidations exceed $34 million. Key resistances are at $2,699 and $2,800.

At press time, Ethereum records a 3% intraday gain, mirroring Bitcoin’s bullish recovery. Amid a broader market rebound, the declining Ethereum exchange reserves, alongside growing optimism in the derivatives market, signal a potential upside.

Ethereum Price Analysis Eyes Breakout Above $2,699

On the daily chart, Ethereum exhibited a major bullish failure last week, unable to hold above the 50% Fibonacci level at $2,699. This led to a price drop to a weekly low of $2,439, followed by a bullish reversal. 

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Ethereum Price Chart
Ethereum Price Chart

With long lower shadows on recent candles, Ethereum has rebounded to a market price of $2,626, indicating a bullish turnaround. As it aims to retest the 50% Fibonacci level, the surge in bullish momentum increases the likelihood of a breakout.

The MACD and signal lines are nearing a bullish crossover, while the RSI is reversing upward from the midpoint, indicating growing buying pressure. Thus, technical indicators remain optimistic for Ethereum.

According to Fibonacci levels, a breakout above the 50% level could target the 61.8% Fibonacci level at $3,003. However, the recent peak near $2,800 could serve as intermediate resistance.

On the downside, critical support remains at the 38.2% Fibonacci level at $2,395.

Supply Pressure Eases Amid Declining Ethereum Reserves

According to CryptoQuant data, last week’s bullish failure followed a brief spike in Ethereum’s exchange reserves, reaching a weekly high of 18.89 million ETH. However, as the market recovers, investors are again withdrawing ETH from centralized exchanges, reducing selling pressure. 

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Currently, the exchange reserve stands at 18.67 million ETH, approaching the all-time low of 18.63 million ETH recorded on June 4

Ethereum: Exchange Reserve
Ethereum Exchange Reserve<span style=”font-weight: 300;”></span>

Bulls Gain Ground in Ethereum Derivatives Market

CoinGlass data indicates growing optimism in Ethereum as the broader market rebounds. Ethereum’s open interest is up 4.75%, reaching $36.30 billion, while the OI-weighted funding rate stands at 0.0046%. This reflects an increase in bullish sentiment and expectations of a sustained recovery.. 

Ethereum Derivatives
Ethereum Derivatives

In the past 24 hours, liquidations reveal a bullish bias, with $34.65 million in short positions liquidated compared to $18.03 million in long positions.

Following the significant short squeeze, the long-to-short ratio has climbed to 1.0627, indicating a bullish imbalance in open positions.