Ethereum: second attempt failed to outperform Bitcoin
May 30, 2025
Yesterday the prezzo di Ethereum, for the second time in the last two weeks, tried to outperform that of Bitcoin, and for the second time the attempt failed.
In reality, in the first half of May, a very first attempt had succeeded, but it was only a rebound.
The situation has now returned to normal, but many are expecting further attempts by Ethereum to outperform Bitcoin, and some of these might eventually succeed.
Summary
The prezzo di Ethereum is still in sofferenza.
At the end of October last year, it was hovering around $2,400, but then thanks to the so-called Trump trade it managed to climb back to $4,000. However, that mini-bubble started to burst already in the second half of December, and from February it burst completely.
In fact, to tell the truth, at the end of February the price of ETH even fell below the initial $2,400, reaching a bottom in 2025 even below $1,500.
The problem could have been the strong competition from Solana, given that in the past ETH also benefited, indirectly, from the success of many memecoins on Ethereum, while now the vast majority of memecoins are launched on Solana.
When Trump announced the launch of his memecoin on Solana in January, Ethereum ended up suffering quite a bit.
Note that the current price of ETH, just above $2,600, is not much higher than that of October 2024.
Instead, the price of Bitcoin in the same period went from less than $70,000 to more than $100,000.
To get a more precise idea of how much BTC is outperforming ETH, it is useful to analyze the trend over time of the price of Ethereum expressed in Bitcoin.
At the end of October, 1 ETH was worth about 0.035 BTC, and with the Trump trade, it temporarily rose to 0.040.
The problem is that starting from mid-December it had already fallen below 0.035 BTC, and during the month of January it even dropped to 0.030.
So from October to January, Ethereum had underperformed Bitcoin.
Starting from February, an additional retracement began, which ended only at the beginning of May, causing the price of Ethereum in Bitcoin to plummet first to 0.027 BTC, and then even below 0.020.
The minimum peak of 0.018 BTC reached on April 12 was achieved at a level so low that it hadn’t been seen since January 2020.
In light of this, it is evident that something serious has happened to Ethereum, and it is very likely that the problem is the one already mentioned before, namely the very strong competition from Solana in the memecoin sector.
On May 8, however, there was a turning point.
Not only has the descending phase ended, but there has also been a true bull rebound.
In fact, within just three days, the price of Ethereum in Bitcoin has returned above the 0.024 BTC mark, which is still well below the 0.035 of October, but significantly higher than the bottom of 2025.
However, it was only a rebound, and not a restart, so much so that the price of Ethereum in dollars is still more or less at the levels of October.
In the last two weeks, however, there have been two attempts to return at least above 0.025 BTC.
The first occurred between May 13 and 14, and it failed in just over 24 hours. The second, however, happened just yesterday, and it failed in less than 24 hours.
In the same days, the price of Ethereum in dollars attempted twice to surpass $2,700. The first time, it actually didn’t even manage to rise above it temporarily, while at least yesterday it even managed to climb back above $2,750 for a few hours.
Both of these attempts, however, failed within less than 24 hours.
Despite this, there are several analysts who believe that Ethereum can eventually manage to solidly return above $2,700.
In particular, a hypothesis that is circulating widely is the one that predicts a decline in the dominance of Bitcoin.
In October 2024, Bitcoin’s dominance was below 60%. During the mini-altseason in November, caused by the Trump trade, it dropped to 55%, but starting from December, it began a new upward phase that first brought it above 60%, and then on May 7, 2025, even above 65%.
Well, on May 8th, a downturn began that not only interrupted the upward trend, but within a few days brought it back to 62%.
Subsequently, however, there was a rebound, so much so that it has now returned above 64%, but the upward trend for now seems to actually be interrupted.
According to several analysts, there is a possibility that it may drop back to 60%, or perhaps even lower, and this would mean that the altcoins would be outperforming Bitcoin.
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