How Investors Are Reacting To PG&E (PCG) Powering Microsoft’s San Jose AI Data Center Expa

October 11, 2025

  • Recent coverage highlighted PG&E’s integral role in supplying power to Microsoft’s San Jose data center, drawing investor focus to the utility’s involvement in the rapidly expanding AI infrastructure sector.

  • This association has also contributed to renewed attention on PG&E as an undervalued utility stock, according to recent analyst commentary.

  • We’ll examine how PG&E’s ties to the AI data center boom could influence its investment narrative and long-term prospects.

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To be a shareholder in PG&E, you need to believe California’s utility sector will be rewarded for supporting the power demands of emerging industries such as AI data centers, while successfully managing ongoing wildfire risk and earning regulatory approval for critical infrastructure investments. The recent news linking PG&E to Microsoft’s San Jose data center underscores a potential long-term growth catalyst. However, it has no material impact on the most important short-term catalyst: progress towards regulatory stability and wildfire liability reforms. The biggest risk remains legislative and regulatory uncertainty around wildfire responsibility.

Among recent announcements, PG&E’s lowered full-year earnings guidance in July is most relevant for understanding current sentiment. Even as data center developments point to future load growth, earnings guidance revisions focus investor attention on regulatory, operational, and cost risks over the coming quarters.

By contrast, investors should also be aware that ongoing debates about how California allocates wildfire costs could…

Read the full narrative on PG&E (it’s free!)

PG&E’s outlook anticipates $27.6 billion in revenue and $4.0 billion in earnings by 2028. This scenario assumes a 4.1% annual revenue growth and a $1.6 billion increase in earnings from the current $2.4 billion.

Uncover how PG&E’s forecasts yield a $20.39 fair value, a 29% upside to its current price.

PCG Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
PCG Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Five individual fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range from US$6.79 to US$20.39 per share. While many see strong future demand from AI and tech growth, the risk that regulatory changes could impact cost recovery remains central to the company’s outlook, reminding you that community opinions can vary widely.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on PG&E – why the stock might be worth as much as 29% more than the current price!

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes – extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your PG&E research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

  • Our free PG&E research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual – the Snowflake – making it easy to evaluate PG&E’s overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include PCG.

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