How Recent Developments Are Changing the Kennametal Investment Story
November 22, 2025
Kennametal’s fair value estimate has recently been increased from $23.63 to $25.25 per share, following upbeat earnings and raised revenue projections. This price target revision comes along with a slight decrease in the discount rate, indicating increased confidence and slightly reduced risk among analysts. Stay tuned to discover how investors can track these evolving analyst perspectives and make informed decisions amid a shifting stock narrative.
Recent analyst commentary on Kennametal reflects a mix of optimism and ongoing caution as firms reassess the company’s valuation, performance, and future outlook.
🐂 Bullish Takeaways
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UBS, led by analyst Steven Fisher, increased its price target on Kennametal to $28 from $21, a substantial upward revision. Fisher highlights that the rising price of tungsten is driving a positive inflection in growth for the company.
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Improved pricing power and organic sales growth are being recognized as key drivers of recent execution, particularly following Kennametal’s first positive organic sales increase in two years. Goldman Sachs has also acknowledged the company’s performance, raising its price target to $25, with segment EBIT reported 21% above consensus for the latest quarter.
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Management’s decision to raise FY26 EPS guidance is cited as evidence of improved cost control and execution, which underpins current analyst confidence.
🐻 Bearish Takeaways
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Despite raising its price target, Goldman Sachs maintains a Sell rating, highlighting sustained growth momentum as a critical challenge for a more constructive outlook.
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Analysts remain mindful of valuation concerns, with some of the recent upside potentially being priced in and near-term risks still present, particularly if growth momentum fails to accelerate further.
Overall, analyst opinions on Kennametal’s stock balance recognition of operational progress and sector tailwinds against careful consideration of ongoing valuation and growth risks. These perspectives continue to shape expectations and will likely influence how investors weigh the company’s forward trajectory.
Do your thoughts align with the Bull or Bear Analysts? Perhaps you think there’s more to the story. Head to the Simply Wall St Community to discover more perspectives or begin writing your own Narrative!
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Kennametal Inc. has issued new earnings guidance for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, anticipating sales between $500 million and $520 million.
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The company completed another tranche of its ongoing share buyback program, repurchasing 474,859 shares for a total of $9.99 million during the quarter. Cumulative buybacks since February 2024 now total 2,966,554 shares for $69.91 million.
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Full-year fiscal 2026 guidance has been lifted. Kennametal now expects sales in the range of $2.1 billion to $2.17 billion. This upward revision is attributed to robust first quarter performance and stronger-than-anticipated share gains.
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Fair Value Estimate: Increased from $23.63 to $25.25 per share. This reflects a modest upward revision.
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Discount Rate: Decreased slightly from 9.15% to 9.12%, which indicates a minor reduction in risk assumptions.
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Revenue Growth: Improved from 3.86% to 4.71%. This signals higher expectations for top-line expansion.
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Net Profit Margin: Risen from 5.03% to 6.12%, suggesting better anticipated profitability.
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Future P/E Ratio: Decreased from 19.53x to 16.94x. This points to a less aggressive valuation on future earnings.
Narratives are a smarter, story-driven approach to investing. They let users connect Kennametal’s real-world journey to the numbers behind its price target, forecasted revenue and earnings, and future profit margins. On Simply Wall St’s Community page, Narratives make it easy for investors to understand a company’s outlook, check how Fair Value compares to the share price, and stay up to date. Narratives dynamically update as news or earnings emerge.
Discover the original Kennametal Narrative and see firsthand why investors are following along for updates on:
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How long-term demand from automation, energy transition, and new manufacturing trends could drive Kennametal’s topline growth.
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The impact of cost reduction programs and digital innovation on future margins and profitability.
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Risks surrounding market share and ongoing margin pressure, factors that could shape the next shift in Fair Value.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include KMT.
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