How Recent Developments Are Shaping the Energy Transfer Investment Story

November 16, 2025

Energy Transfer’s stock price target has recently undergone an update as analysts adjust their forecasts to reflect shifts in market dynamics and the company’s latest financials. Although the fair value remains steady, changes in revenue growth expectations and the discount rate highlight a nuanced outlook shaped by both company strengths and sector uncertainty. Stay tuned to discover how investors can stay ahead of these evolving narratives in a rapidly changing energy landscape.

Stay updated as the Fair Value for Energy Transfer shifts by adding it to your watchlist or portfolio. Alternatively, explore our Community to discover new perspectives on Energy Transfer.

Recent analyst reports offer a balanced perspective on Energy Transfer’s performance and outlook, as various firms adjust their price targets and commentary to reflect sector developments and company-specific metrics.

🐂 Bullish Takeaways

  • Scotiabank maintained its Outperform rating and emphasized Energy Transfer’s natural hedge through business diversification and scale. The firm noted that multi-basin exposure and the company’s significant footprint within key regions help buffer against volatility and sector uncertainty.

  • BofA reaffirmed a Buy rating, even after lowering its price target to $22, signaling continued confidence in the company’s ability to appeal to investors seeking cash returns. The analyst highlighted post-growth-phase priorities, including the likelihood of increased dividends or share buybacks as key attractions.

  • Morgan Stanley kept an Overweight stance after lowering its price target to $23 and suggested that potential catalysts could emerge in the near term, such as a Fed rate cut, which may benefit midstream stocks and renewables exposure.

🐻 Bearish Takeaways

  • Jefferies initiated coverage with a Hold rating and a $17 price target, citing reservations about absolute growth in natural gas, growing competition in NGLs, and a lack of clear near-term catalysts for an upward valuation re-rating.

  • Bearish and neutral analysts highlighted headwinds, including weaker macro conditions for oil and NGLs as well as competitive pressures, which could potentially limit upside and impact valuation.

Taken together, Wall Street sentiment remains split, with bullish firms rewarding Energy Transfer’s operational scale and strategic flexibility, while others urge caution due to muted growth drivers and sector headwinds. This blend of perspectives is helping to shape a nuanced view of the company’s near-term valuation and long-term growth narrative.

Do your thoughts align with the Bull or Bear Analysts? Perhaps you think there’s more to the story. Head to the Simply Wall St Community to discover more perspectives or begin writing your own Narrative!

NYSE:ET Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
NYSE:ET Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
  • Energy Transfer has announced plans for Mustang Draw II, a new 250 million cubic feet per day natural gas processing plant and related facilities in the Midland Basin. The project is scheduled for completion and operation in the fourth quarter of 2026.

  • The company has increased its quarterly cash distribution to $0.3325 per common unit for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. This marks an increase of over 3 percent compared to the same period in 2024.

  • Energy Transfer and Entergy Louisiana have signed a 20-year firm transportation agreement to deliver natural gas. This agreement supports new economic developments, including Meta’s upcoming data center in Louisiana, with initial service expected to begin in February 2028.

  • In the third quarter of 2025, Energy Transfer completed the repurchase of nearly 40 million shares for approximately $1.1 billion as part of its ongoing buyback program. This reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to shareholder returns.

  • Discount Rate: Decreased modestly from 8.36 percent to 7.90 percent. This reflects a lower required return for investors.

  • Revenue Growth: Increased from 6.51 percent to 7.69 percent, which signals higher expected top-line expansion.

  • Net Profit Margin: Improved slightly from 6.15 percent to 6.27 percent. This suggests better expected profitability.

  • Future P/E: Declined from 16.08x to 15.23x. This indicates that valuation multiples have compressed somewhat as analyst expectations adjust.

  • Fair Value: Remained unchanged at $21.87, despite movements in other underlying metrics.

A Narrative is a smarter way to invest, connecting a company’s unique story to real numbers such as forecasts and fair value. Narratives put expert and community perspectives beside financial models, all in one place on Simply Wall St’s Community page. They are always up-to-date, helping you decide when to buy or sell by showing how fair value compares to today’s price, especially as fresh news arrives.

Read the original Energy Transfer Narrative to stay in the loop on:

  • Why Energy Transfer’s diversified business model and expanding pipelines may help capture growing energy demand and provide resilient cash returns to shareholders.

  • How the company’s strong track record with major projects and customer agreements supports clearer earnings growth and margin improvement.

  • The key risks from execution, regulation, and the energy transition that could affect long-term value for investors.

Check out the full perspective on Energy Transfer’s outlook, forecasts, and fair value in the original Narrative on Simply Wall St.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include ET.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

Terms and Privacy Policy


 

Search

RECENT PRESS RELEASES