How Recent Developments Are Shaping the Evolving Clearfield Investment Story

November 27, 2025

Clearfield stock’s fair value estimate was recently lowered from $49.25 to $43.50, reflecting analysts’ recalibrated views on its intrinsic worth. This adjustment comes amid increased uncertainty as the discount rate was raised from 7.99% to 8.06%, which signals marginally higher perceived risk to future cash flows. Stay tuned to discover how you can monitor these evolving valuations and keep up with the shifting Clearfield story.

Analyst Price Targets don’t always capture the full story. Head over to our Company Report to find new ways to value Clearfield.

🐂 Bullish Takeaways

  • Northland’s Tim Savageaux upgraded Clearfield to Outperform, citing increased visibility on BEAD-driven demand in 2026 and recent approvals of state funding proposals. These factors are anticipated to support consistent growth of over 20% for the company. The firm kept its price target unchanged at $45.

  • Needham maintained a Buy rating after lowering its price target to $45 from $50, highlighting Clearfield’s solid Q4 results and prudent guidance. The analyst noted expectations for core revenue growth of 6% in Q1 and 10% for fiscal 2026, backed by anticipated BEAD momentum and a potential fiber shortage.

  • Lake Street also kept a Buy rating despite lowering its target to $41 from $52. The firm expressed encouragement about management’s expectation for improvement throughout FY26 and pointed to a strong balance sheet and increased share buyback as supporting a high floor for shares in the near term.

  • Roth Capital remains constructive, even as it dropped its price target to $43 from $50. The firm highlighted expanded buybacks and initiated long-term growth estimates exceeding 20% from fiscal 2027.

🐻 Bearish Takeaways

  • Several firms, including Roth Capital and Lake Street, tempered near-term expectations and pointed to soft Q4 results, lower outlooks, and uncertainties following the divestiture of European and Nestor cable operations as limiting immediate upside.

  • Needham and Lake Street both cited the impact of one-time write-downs and softer fiscal Q1 guidance. Both firms expressed caution about near-term earnings performance and market adjustments to BEAD-related demand.

Do your thoughts align with the Bull or Bear Analysts? Perhaps you think there’s more to the story. Head to the Simply Wall St Community to discover more perspectives or begin writing your own Narrative!

NasdaqGM:CLFD Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
NasdaqGM:CLFD Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
  • Clearfield, Inc. provided fresh earnings guidance, forecasting Q1 net sales between $30 million and $33 million, and a projected net loss per share in the range of ($0.08) to $0.00.

  • For fiscal 2026, Clearfield expects net sales to be between $160 million and $170 million, with net income per share anticipated in the range of $0.48 to $0.62.

  • The company completed a longstanding share repurchase program that began in November 2014, having bought back 2,280,546 shares, which is 15.75% of the outstanding shares, at a total cost of $56.46 million.

  • Fair Value Estimate: Decreased from $49.25 to $43.50. This reflects lower expectations for the stock’s intrinsic value.

  • Discount Rate: Increased slightly from 7.99% to 8.06%. This indicates a marginally higher perceived risk in future cash flows.

  • Revenue Growth: Projected growth rate has risen from 11.94% to 15.54%. This suggests improved topline expectations despite other challenges.

  • Net Profit Margin: Declined significantly from 22.50% to 10.87%. This highlights concerns over near-term profitability.

  • Future P/E: Increased from 13.15x to 26.18x. This indicates a higher valuation relative to projected earnings.

Simply Wall St Narratives are living stories that help you make sense of a company’s numbers and prospects. Narratives connect Clearfield’s unique journey to realistic growth forecasts and a fair value, simplifying the decision of when to buy or sell. They are easy to access, update automatically with each new announcement, and are shaped by the insights of millions of investors on Simply Wall St’s Community page.

Get the full story and real investor insights by reading the original narrative for Clearfield on Simply Wall St here and follow along for:

  • Key drivers like BEAD-powered broadband adoption, new product launches, and how Clearfield’s role in next-gen networks could impact long-term growth

  • Insight into operational improvements and share buybacks that may support margins and shareholder value, even during challenging quarters

  • Risks and catalysts, including how government funding, technology trends, and market pressures can quickly change the story and the numbers

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include CLFD.

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