How Recent Developments Are Shaping the Stem Investment Story

November 11, 2025

The price target for Stem stock has undergone a notable shift, with the Fair Value Estimate rising moderately from $16.67 to $19.17 per share. This change reflects evolving analyst opinions on the company’s changing business model and outlook. Stay tuned to discover how you can monitor shifts in Stem’s narrative as analysts continue to update their projections.

Analyst Price Targets don’t always capture the full story. Head over to our Company Report to find new ways to value Stem.

🐂 Bullish Takeaways

  • UBS increased its price target on Stem from $16 to $18. The firm noted that a faster shift to a lower-revenue but higher-margin software and services model was a key driver for the upgrade.

  • Barclays also raised its price target significantly from $13 to $18, following Stem’s strong Q3 results and an improvement in software revenue consistency.

  • Analysts acknowledged Stem’s proactive cost control and tightened fiscal year guidance. They cited reduced business volatility and improved transparency as positives for the company’s outlook.

🐻 Bearish Takeaways

  • Despite raising targets, UBS maintains a Neutral rating, and Barclays keeps an Equal Weight stance. This signals continued caution regarding Stem’s valuation and the sustainability of recent improvements.

  • The absence of outright Buy recommendations and explicit mention of upside risks suggests analysts see near-term risks and believe much of the positive outlook may already be reflected in Stem’s current stock price.

Do your thoughts align with the Bull or Bear Analysts? Perhaps you think there’s more to the story. Head to the Simply Wall St Community to discover more perspectives or begin writing your own Narrative!

NYSE:STEM Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
NYSE:STEM Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
  • Stem, Inc. has updated its full-year 2025 earnings guidance, now projecting revenue between $135 million and $160 million. This refines its previous range to reflect current business expectations.

  • On October 15, 2025, the Board of Directors amended the company’s bylaws to lower the quorum required at stockholder meetings to one-third of outstanding voting power. This adjustment is intended to enhance meeting efficiency.

  • The company announced the expansion of its Berlin operations, opening new centralized facilities to better support utility-scale solar, storage, and hybrid projects across the EMEA region.

  • Stem unveiled the PowerTrack Energy Management System, a new integrated solution that offers advanced hybrid control, AI-enabled tuning, and increased operational flexibility for utility-scale and commercial and industrial projects.

  • The Fair Value Estimate has risen moderately, increasing from $16.67 to $19.17 per share.

  • The Discount Rate has edged up slightly from 12.32% to 12.5%, reflecting an incremental shift in perceived risk.

  • Revenue Growth expectations have decreased significantly, dropping from 12.84% to 7.66%.

  • Net Profit Margin projections have increased modestly, moving from 10.56% to 11.87%.

  • Future P/E ratio estimates have risen from 8.98x to 10.05x, indicating expectations of higher relative valuation multiples.

Narratives are a smarter way to invest, connecting a company’s story to its financial forecasts and Fair Value. On Simply Wall St’s Community page, millions use Narratives to share their own perspective by tying together the numbers, revenue and margin estimates, and real-world developments. Narratives help you decide when to buy or sell by comparing Fair Value with the current price, and they update dynamically as new information emerges.

Curious how Stem’s story unfolds? Read the full original narrative on Stem and follow along for:

  • Up-to-the-minute analysis on Stem’s strategic shift toward high-margin software and services, including impacts on profitability and cash flow.

  • Risks and catalysts ranging from policy changes and interest rates to competition, supply chain challenges, and international market expansion.

  • Dynamic Fair Value estimates and forecasts connecting Stem’s evolving business model to revenue growth, profit margins, and stock price potential.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include STEM.

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