How Recent Updates Are Shaping The Farmer Bros Investment Story

November 27, 2025

Farmer Bros. stock has recently seen a shift in its valuation outlook, with the Fair Value Estimate decreasing to $2.25 per share from a previous $2.50. Analysts have also slightly lowered the Discount Rate, indicating a more tempered outlook in light of new financial projections. Continue reading to discover how you can stay informed as the narrative for Farmer Bros. continues to evolve.

Stay updated as the Fair Value for Farmer Bros shifts by adding it to your watchlist or portfolio. Alternatively, explore our Community to discover new perspectives on Farmer Bros.

Recent analyst coverage for Farmer Bros. has highlighted a mix of optimism surrounding the company’s operational improvements and caution regarding near-term headwinds and valuation risks. Below is a summary of the major bullish and bearish viewpoints from the latest research notes.

🐂 Bullish Takeaways

  • Roth Capital maintains a Buy rating on Farmer Bros. despite lowering its price target from $3.50 to $3. This reflects continued confidence in the company’s long-term prospects.

  • Analysts recognize management’s efforts to streamline operations and maximize profitability. Execution and cost control are identified as strengths, even amidst challenging industry conditions.

  • There is acknowledgment of Farmer Bros.’ ability to stabilize its business over the past two years. Some analysts still consider the long-term upside potential intact if strategic initiatives yield favorable outcomes.

đŸ» Bearish Takeaways

  • Both Roth Capital and Craig-Hallum point to near-term risks, notably reduced restaurant traffic and elevated coffee prices. These factors are expected to impact results in the coming quarters.

  • Craig-Hallum downgraded Farmer Bros. to Hold from Buy, setting a $2.50 price target. The firm cites margin and topline pressure for FY26 as pricing benefits have likely peaked.

  • Valuation concerns are noted, with the recent share price run-up viewed as limiting further upside. Shares are likely to remain range-bound unless there are clear signs of new, large customer wins or a supportive macro environment.

Do your thoughts align with the Bull or Bear Analysts? Perhaps you think there’s more to the story. Head to the Simply Wall St Community to discover more perspectives or begin writing your own Narrative!

NasdaqGS:FARM Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
NasdaqGS:FARM Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
  • The Fair Value Estimate has decreased modestly, moving from $2.50 to $2.25 per share.

  • The Discount Rate has declined slightly, from 7.71% to 7.66%.

  • The Revenue Growth Projection has been revised down, now at 3.05%, compared to the previous estimate of 3.63%.

  • The Net Profit Margin estimate has improved, rising from 6.04% to 6.29%.

  • The Future P/E Ratio is now lower, moving from 3.02x to 2.65x.

Narratives offer an innovative approach to investing by linking a company’s story to its financial forecast and fair value. On Simply Wall St, millions of investors use Narratives to share their perspectives, bringing together forecasts and real-world events in an accessible format. Narratives quickly adjust as news develops, helping you decide when to act by comparing Fair Value with the market price. Everything is available in one dynamic, easy-to-follow section within our Community page.

Read the original Farmer Bros. Narrative to stay ahead of the story and see what matters most for this stock:

  • Analysis of how direct store delivery (DSD) improvements and new leadership could unlock future revenue and customer growth.

  • Review of how product diversification and eco-friendly partnerships may drive margin gains and earnings stability.

  • Assessment of risks, including customer attrition, commodity price volatility, and what must change for long-term upside in Farmer Bros.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include FARM.

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