Investing in Louisiana-Pacific (NYSE:LPX) five years ago would have delivered you a 432% g
April 13, 2025
While Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (NYSE:LPX) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn’t had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 18% in the last quarter. But over five years returns have been remarkably great. In fact, during that period, the share price climbed 395%. Impressive! So it might be that some shareholders are taking profits after good performance. The most important thing for savvy investors to consider is whether the underlying business can justify the share price gain.
So let’s investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business’ progress.
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During the last half decade, Louisiana-Pacific became profitable. Sometimes, the start of profitability is a major inflection point that can signal fast earnings growth to come, which in turn justifies very strong share price gains.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
We know that Louisiana-Pacific has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Louisiana-Pacific will grow revenue in the future.
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Louisiana-Pacific the TSR over the last 5 years was 432%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
We’re pleased to report that Louisiana-Pacific shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 14% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 40% per year, is even more impressive. Potential buyers might understandably feel they’ve missed the opportunity, but it’s always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. If you would like to research Louisiana-Pacific in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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