Is Marvell Technology’s Recent 10% Slide an Opportunity for Investors in 2025?

November 23, 2025

  • Wondering whether Marvell Technology is a bargain or overpriced right now? You are not alone, as investors are searching for value in a market full of surprises.

  • Shares have had a wild ride lately, dropping 10.4% over the past week and 31.8% year-to-date. However, they are still up 75.3% over five years.

  • Recent headlines around Marvell cite industry-wide semiconductor demand shifts and ongoing AI hardware optimism, fueling both hopes and worries for future growth. Market watchers see these news items as key drivers behind the stock’s recent price swings.

  • At the moment, Marvell scores a 2 out of 6 on our valuation check. How does that stack up? We will dig into the different ways to assess fair value next, and by the end, you’ll see why there may be an even smarter approach.

Marvell Technology scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model is a widely used valuation method that estimates a company’s intrinsic value by projecting its future cash flows and discounting them back to today’s dollars. This approach gives investors an idea of what the business is fundamentally worth based on its ability to generate cash in the years ahead.

For Marvell Technology, the DCF analysis uses a “2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity” model. The company’s last twelve months Free Cash Flow (FCF) stands at approximately $1.48 billion, reflecting robust generation of cash. Analyst forecasts predict substantial FCF growth in coming years, with estimates reaching about $2.83 billion by 2026 and increasing each year to a projected $4.23 billion in 2030. Estimates after the initial five years are extrapolated from historical data and Simply Wall St’s own projections, as analysts only typically forecast a few years ahead.

Taking all these projected future cash flows and discounting them to present value, the DCF model calculates Marvell’s intrinsic fair value at $60.10 per share. However, when compared to the current share price, this result implies the stock is trading at a 28.9% premium. This suggests it is currently overvalued according to this metric.

Result: OVERVALUED

Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Marvell Technology may be overvalued by 28.9%. Discover 926 undervalued stocks or create your own screener to find better value opportunities.

MRVL Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025
MRVL Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Marvell Technology.

The Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio is the preferred multiple for valuing Marvell Technology because it offers a straightforward way to assess how much investors are willing to pay for every dollar of the company’s sales. This metric is especially useful for companies like Marvell that may have uneven or negative earnings but generate significant revenue and operate in rapidly growing sectors such as semiconductors.

While the long-term growth prospects and risk profile of a company should influence what counts as a “fair” P/S ratio, industry and peer benchmarks are often used as a starting point. Currently, Marvell trades at a P/S ratio of 9.23x. For comparison, the semiconductor industry average P/S is 4.24x, and its peers in the sector average a higher 15.59x. On its own, Marvell’s P/S may seem elevated relative to the broader industry but is below the peer group average, reflecting moderate expectations for the company’s growth and profitability.

This is where Simply Wall St’s “Fair Ratio” comes in. The Fair Ratio for Marvell is calculated as 11.30x, which represents what would be considered a reasonable P/S for the company, factoring in its revenue growth, risk profile, industry standards, and market capitalization. Unlike a simple industry or peer comparison, the Fair Ratio is tailored to the realities of Marvell’s business drivers and provides a more comprehensive view of value.

Comparing Marvell’s current P/S of 9.23x to its Fair Ratio of 11.30x shows the stock is trading at a slight discount, indicating it is potentially undervalued based on this analysis.

Result: UNDERVALUED

NasdaqGS:MRVL PS Ratio as at Nov 2025
NasdaqGS:MRVL PS Ratio as at Nov 2025

PS ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1430 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth.

Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let’s introduce you to Narratives.

A Narrative is simply your story or perspective about a company’s future. It links your expectations about key drivers like revenue, earnings, and margins to your own estimate of fair value. Instead of just crunching numbers, Narratives help you connect the dots between what’s happening in the business, what you believe will happen next, and what that means for whether the stock looks cheap or expensive today.

On Simply Wall St’s Community page, Narratives are easy to create and use. This lets anyone, not just professional analysts, turn their research and opinions into actionable forecasts and fair value estimates. Millions of investors are already using this tool to guide their decisions.

Your Narrative is kept up to date in real time as new news, earnings, or data is released, so you can always track whether your thesis still stacks up or needs a rethink. Narratives make it clear whether your fair value is above or below the current price, empowering you to decide when you believe it’s the right time to buy, hold, or sell.

For example, some investors expect Marvell Technology’s earnings to surge with AI infrastructure demand and assign a fair value as high as $122, while others are more cautious, projecting $58 if growth stalls or risks materialize.

Do you think there’s more to the story for Marvell Technology? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!

NasdaqGS:MRVL Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
NasdaqGS:MRVL Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include MRVL.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com