Is Mohawk’s Index Shuffle Reshaping The Investment Case For Mohawk Industries (MHK)?

December 25, 2025

  • In December 2025, Mohawk Industries, Inc. (NYSE:MHK) was removed from the S&P 500 Equal Weighted Index and subsequently added to both the S&P 1000 and the Russell Small Cap Comp Value Index, reshaping its position across major US equity benchmarks.

  • These index shifts can alter how many institutional and passive funds hold Mohawk’s shares, potentially changing trading volumes, liquidity, and the stock’s investor base.

  • We’ll now examine how Mohawk’s shift into the S&P 1000 and a Russell small-cap value index interacts with its existing investment narrative.

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To own Mohawk Industries, you generally need to believe the company can convert a cyclical flooring slump into improving earnings, despite weaker housing activity and pricing pressure. The index changes themselves do not materially alter Mohawk’s core near term catalyst around earnings recovery, but they may influence trading liquidity and how quickly new information is reflected in the share price. The most immediate risk remains pressure on volumes and margins if consumer and construction demand stay subdued.

The most relevant recent announcement alongside these index changes is Mohawk’s ongoing US$500 million share repurchase program, with about US$496.37 million used to retire roughly 3.8 million shares by late September 2025. As Mohawk shifts into the S&P 1000 and a Russell small cap value index, that shrinking share count interacts with any future earnings progress, potentially magnifying per share results at a time when the business is still working through weak remodeling demand and higher input costs.

Yet this potential uplift from buybacks sits against the risk that prolonged pricing and cost pressure may continue to weigh on margins that investors should be aware of…

Read the full narrative on Mohawk Industries (it’s free!)

Mohawk Industries’ narrative projects $11.5 billion revenue and $827.2 million earnings by 2028. This requires 2.5% yearly revenue growth and about a $352.9 million earnings increase from $474.3 million today.

Uncover how Mohawk Industries’ forecasts yield a $138.12 fair value, a 26% upside to its current price.

MHK 1-Year Stock Price Chart
MHK 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Three fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$87 to US$166 per share, underscoring how far views on Mohawk can stretch. Against that backdrop, ongoing pressure from soft remodeling and construction demand may become a key swing factor for how those different expectations play out in Mohawk’s future performance.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Mohawk Industries – why the stock might be worth as much as 51% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include MHK.

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