Mercedes-Benz Buybacks and BlackRock Stake Might Change The Case For Investing In Mercedes

January 10, 2026

  • In late December 2025 and early January 2026, Mercedes-Benz Group AG reported that it had repurchased 418,616 shares, bringing total buybacks since its November 3, 2025 program launch to 5,711,256 shares.

  • Alongside this, BlackRock, Inc. disclosed a voting rights position of about 6.17% in Mercedes-Benz Group, underscoring concentrated institutional ownership in the company.

  • We’ll now explore how Mercedes-Benz’s ongoing share buyback, which reduces free-float over time, feeds into the existing investment narrative.

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To own Mercedes-Benz Group, you need to believe in its ability to keep earning attractive returns from premium combustion and electric vehicles while managing slower growth and higher investment needs. The recent share buybacks and BlackRock’s 6.17% voting stake do not materially change the near term picture, where softer demand in China remains a key risk and the rollout of new models and software features is a central catalyst.

The ongoing buyback program, which has now retired over 5.7 million shares since early November 2025, ties directly into the existing shareholder returns story and can modestly enhance earnings per share over time. It sits alongside heavier spending on electrification and MB.OS, reinforcing the contrast between Mercedes-Benz’s commitment to capital returns and the pressure that elevated R&D and capex can place on free cash flow in the next few years.

Yet this sits against a backdrop of intensifying China demand risks that investors should be aware of as they weigh…

Read the full narrative on Mercedes-Benz Group (it’s free!)

Mercedes-Benz Group’s narrative projects €146.0 billion revenue and €8.5 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 1.6% yearly revenue growth and about a €1.7 billion earnings increase from €6.8 billion today.

Uncover how Mercedes-Benz Group’s forecasts yield a €62.80 fair value, a 4% upside to its current price.

XTRA:MBG 1-Year Stock Price Chart
XTRA:MBG 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Six members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see fair value for Mercedes-Benz Group between €60 and €77.74, highlighting a wide spread of individual views. Set against ongoing cost and margin pressure from electrification and software investment, these differing opinions underline why it can help to compare several perspectives before deciding how this stock might fit into your portfolio.

Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Mercedes-Benz Group – why the stock might be worth as much as 29% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include MBG.DE.

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