Meta (META): Evaluating Valuation After Stock Drops on AI Spending, Tax Charge, and Leader

November 3, 2025

Meta Platforms stock saw a sharp drop following its recent earnings, with investors focusing on elevated capital spending for artificial intelligence and a large one-time tax charge that reduced quarterly profits. The announcement of a record bond offering and changes in Meta’s AI leadership have added to market debate about the company’s investment direction.

See our latest analysis for Meta Platforms.

It’s been a volatile stretch for Meta Platforms, with the share price tumbling over 12% in the past week after cautious signals on AI spending and a rare earnings miss. Still, Meta holds onto a positive year-to-date share price return of 8.2% and boasts a 14.7% one-year total shareholder return. Although momentum has faded, the company’s track record of overcoming sharp declines remains noteworthy as it pivots deeper into AI and infrastructure expansion.

If Meta’s big investment swings have you rethinking where growth could come next, it might be the perfect moment to discover See the full list for free.

The recent pullback has fueled debate over Meta’s true valuation, raising the question: does the recent sell-off create a genuine buying opportunity, or has the market already priced in every ounce of future growth?

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Most Popular Narrative: 23.6% Undervalued

Meta Platforms’ most-followed valuation narrative pegs its fair value significantly above the recent close. This suggests an unusually wide gap between market price and underlying growth expectations. The following quote highlights the kind of platform dynamics bulls believe could help close that gap.

The convergence of social, commerce, and entertainment on Meta’s platforms, as reflected in growth from original content creators, cross-surface recommendation models, and business messaging adoption, reinforces Meta’s ecosystem advantage and competitive moat. This supports durable revenue growth and improved net margins as these secular shifts expand user engagement and monetization potential.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know the growth blueprint behind this high valuation? The key element of this narrative is record-breaking earnings and a future profit multiple usually associated with tech leaders. Interested in which bold financial projections support that price target? Dive deeper to see the surprising numbers that drive this fair value calculation.

Result: Fair Value of $848.43 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.

However, increased AI infrastructure spending or slow monetization of new platforms could undermine the positive outlook on Meta’s future growth and profitability.

Find out about the key risks to this Meta Platforms narrative.

Build Your Own Meta Platforms Narrative

Whether you see things differently or prefer to dig into the numbers first-hand, reviewing the data yourself and shaping your own narrative takes just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Meta Platforms research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data
and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice.
It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your
financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.
Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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