MongoDB’s Strong Q3, Higher 2026 Outlook, and Buybacks Might Change The Case For Investing
December 13, 2025
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In the past quarter, MongoDB, Inc. reported third-quarter 2025 revenue of US$628.31 million and a net loss of US$2.01 million, issued higher revenue guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2026, and completed a share repurchase of 1,443,294 shares for US$351.69 million under its March 2025 buyback.
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The combination of stronger results, a higher revenue outlook, and completed buybacks highlights management’s confidence in MongoDB’s growth trajectory and capital allocation priorities.
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We’ll now examine how MongoDB’s higher 2026 revenue guidance and improving losses reshape its investment narrative and future expectations.
Find companies with promising cash flow potential yet trading below their fair value.
To own MongoDB, you need to believe its developer friendly database and Atlas cloud platform can keep capturing mission critical workloads despite intense hyperscaler and open source competition. The latest quarter’s stronger revenue, narrowing losses, and completed buybacks do not materially change the near term catalyst around Atlas growth, nor the key risk that lower cost, cloud native rivals could pressure pricing and margins.
The most relevant update here is MongoDB’s higher fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to US$2.434 billion to US$2.439 billion, implying 21% to 22% growth, which reinforces Atlas as the central growth driver. That outlook sits alongside persistent margin and profitability questions as the company balances investment in product innovation like search and vector search against pricing pressure and rising stock based compensation.
Yet even with stronger guidance, investors should be aware that competition from lower cost, cloud native and open source databases could…
Read the full narrative on MongoDB (it’s free!)
MongoDB’s narrative projects $3.5 billion revenue and $5.0 million earnings by 2028. This requires 16.8% yearly revenue growth and an $83.6 million earnings increase from -$78.6 million today.
Uncover how MongoDB’s forecasts yield a $427.93 fair value, in line with its current price.
Simply Wall St Community members put MongoDB’s fair value between US$130.20 and US$427.93 across 11 independent views, highlighting how far opinions can diverge. Against this backdrop of wide valuation ranges, the raised 2026 revenue guidance and still slim losses invite you to weigh robust growth expectations against ongoing competitive and margin pressures.
Explore 11 other fair value estimates on MongoDB – why the stock might be worth as much as $427.93!
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes – extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
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A great starting point for your MongoDB research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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Our free MongoDB research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual – the Snowflake – making it easy to evaluate MongoDB’s overall financial health at a glance.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include MDB.
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