• Nelnet, Inc. recently reported its third quarter 2025 results, recording net income of US$106.68 million and basic earnings per share from continuing operations of US$2.94, both sharply higher than the prior year period.

• The company’s strong financial performance was driven by continued momentum in loan servicing, consumer lending, payments, and technology, as well as positive contributions from one-time transactions.

• We’ll explore how Nelnet’s broad-based core business strength informs its investment narrative following the impressive earnings announcement.

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For those looking at Nelnet, the big picture centers on confidence in the ongoing performance of its core businesses, loan servicing, consumer lending, and technology, along with management’s ability to extract value from new ventures and operational improvements. The company’s latest quarterly profit surge, which beat revenue and earnings expectations by a wide margin, suggests some short-term catalysts are more immediate than previously thought. Strong results, supported both by steady operations and one-off gains, have drawn fresh attention to Nelnet’s resilience and capacity to generate cash, which is reinforced by a rising dividend. However, investors should remain grounded: analyst forecasts still point to a multiyear earnings and revenue decline, with existing concerns around valuation and rising debt coverage risk largely unchanged. While recent price action has been positive, longer-term risks linked to regulatory shifts and a maturing loan portfolio are still in the mix.
But risks tied to future earnings declines are still worth your attention.

Nelnet’s shares are on the way up, but could they be overextended? Uncover how much higher they are than fair value.

Simply Wall St Community members offered two extremely different fair value estimates for Nelnet, from just US$22.77 to US$130 per share. These contrasting views reflect how investor opinions can diverge widely, particularly with forecasts calling for earnings to decline in coming years. Explore how your own expectations align with these varied perspectives.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Nelnet – why the stock might be worth as much as $130.00!

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