Top Reasons Why Ethereum Price Could Be Setting Up for a Strong Rally in 2026

December 29, 2025

Price Analysis
  • Ethereum is attracting increasing liquidity across derivatives, exchange flows, and on-chain activity, even as price consolidates.

  • Despite improving fundamentals, ETH remains range-bound, making a confirmed breakout or breakdown critical for the next trend.

Ethereum price is quietly attracting more liquidity across derivatives, on-chain activity, and exchange flows, even as its price remains locked in a consolidation range. While ETH has struggled to produce a decisive breakout in recent weeks, underlying data suggests participation across the network is strengthening. This growing disconnect between improving fundamentals and muted price action is drawing close attention from traders, raising a key question: Is liquidity positioning ahead of a larger move, or simply building risk within the range?

eth price

Data from CryptoQuant shows Ethereum open interest rising steadily toward the $19–20 billion range, approaching recent highs. Importantly, this increase has occurred without a corresponding price expansion. For traders, rising open interest in a sideways market often signals positioning rather than trend confirmation. It suggests expectations are building for a larger directional move while also increasing the risk of volatility once the price breaks out of its current structure.

eth price

Ethereum exchange reserves have trended lower over the same period, indicating a reduction in readily available sell-side supply. While short-term fluctuations remain, the broader picture points toward ETH being moved off exchanges rather than prepared for immediate liquidation. Historically, declining exchange balances tend to support price stability during periods of consolidation, especially when combined with rising derivatives participation.

Network Activity: Active Addresses Remain Resilient

eth price

On-chain data shows Ethereum’s daily active addresses holding broadly within the 350,000 to 400,000 range, with periodic spikes higher. While activity has not accelerated sharply, it has also not broken down despite recent Ethereum price weakness. This stability suggests continued network usage and participation. This reinforces the view that the current market phase reflects consolidation rather than demand erosion.

eth price

The Ethereum price is moving within a tight range, forming higher lows while repeatedly facing resistance near the $3,200–$3,300 zone. This creates a clear compression pattern, where price is getting squeezed between rising support and horizontal resistance. Volatility has dropped sharply, which usually signals that a bigger move is coming. The RSI is holding near neutral levels, showing neither strong bullish nor bearish momentum yet. Overall, the chart suggests ETH is building pressure for a breakout rather than showing signs of weakness.

Ethereum is approaching a decisive zone where improving liquidity metrics must translate into price confirmation. On the upside, a sustained break and acceptance above the $3,200–$3,300 resistance zone would validate the rising open interest and tightening exchange supply. If this level flips into support, the ETH price could open room for a move toward $3,500 initially, followed by a broader upside extension toward the $3,800–$4,000 range in early 2026.

On the downside, failure to hold the rising trendline support near $2,900–$3,000 would weaken the bullish setup and risk a deeper pullback toward $2,600–$2,550, where stronger demand is expected to re-emerge. Until either level breaks decisively, Ethereum remains in consolidation—but the compression suggests a larger directional move is building.

Why does rising liquidity sometimes fail to move Ethereum’s price immediately?

Liquidity can build quietly when traders hedge, roll positions, or prepare for events without committing to direction. Price often reacts only after a catalyst forces positions to unwind or expand.

Who is most exposed if Ethereum breaks out of its current range?

Short-term derivatives traders face the highest risk, as leveraged positions can unwind quickly. Spot holders are less affected day to day but benefit or lose as volatility resets the market.

What happens if Ethereum continues to trade sideways for longer?

Extended consolidation increases the chance of a sudden volatility spike, as crowded positions become unstable. This can lead to rapid moves in either direction once liquidity shifts.

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