Upward Earnings Revisions and Analyst Optimism Might Change the Case for Investing in Carp

September 27, 2025

  • In recent days, Carpenter Technology received a #1 (Strong Buy) sector ranking and saw its full-year earnings estimates raised by 4.6% over the past quarter, according to updated analyst reports.

  • This shift, combined with superior performance relative to peers in the Basic Materials sector, is drawing increased market attention and reflects rising analyst confidence in Carpenter Technology’s outlook.

  • We’ll examine how heightened analyst optimism and upward earnings estimate revisions may influence Carpenter Technology’s investment narrative going forward.

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To be a shareholder in Carpenter Technology, an investor must have confidence in sustained aerospace and energy sector demand, Carpenter’s execution on expansion, and its ability to preserve margins amid cyclical pressures. The recent uptick in analyst sentiment and raised earnings estimates is a positive signal, but does not materially change the main near-term catalyst: ongoing order momentum from aerospace and power generation. The largest risk remains the $400 million brownfield expansion, where any shortfall in demand or execution missteps could weigh on returns.

Of the recent company developments, Carpenter’s inclusion in the S&P Aerospace & Defense Select Industry Index stands out. This move aligns with its sector-leading performance and could influence both investor visibility and near-term trading volumes, all while the outcome of its ambitious growth projects remains central to future performance.

By contrast, investors should still be aware of how increased sector capacity from competing projects could impact Carpenter Technology by …

Read the full narrative on Carpenter Technology (it’s free!)

Carpenter Technology’s outlook anticipates $3.6 billion in revenue and $672.3 million in earnings by 2028. This is based on a 7.7% annual revenue growth rate and a $296.5 million increase in earnings from the current level of $375.8 million.

Uncover how Carpenter Technology’s forecasts yield a $325.72 fair value, a 30% upside to its current price.

CRS Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025
CRS Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025

Three Simply Wall St Community members estimate Carpenter Technology’s fair value between US$136 and US$326 per share. Broader analyst consensus remains focused on whether the company can effectively capitalize on demand while managing large-scale expansion risk.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Carpenter Technology – why the stock might be worth as much as 30% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include CRS.

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