What it would take for bitcoin to top all-time highs
April 14, 2025
Forward Guidance’s Felix Jauvin noted that he’s bullish on both crypto and bitcoin on a “mean reversion basis”
by Katherine Ross /
April 14, 2025 11:00 am
3dMediSphere/Shutterstock and Adobe modified by Blockworks
This is a segment from the Empire newsletter. To read full editions, subscribe.
I have some good news: The Forward Guidance guys — Felix Jauvin and Quinn Thompson — still feel pretty good about bitcoin.
But I also have some bad news: Thompson’s not super keen on alts here.
In this morning’s episode of Empire, we saw two worlds collide as Empire’s Jason Yanowitz and Santiago Santos spoke to Thompson and Jauvin about the macro outlook and, of course, crypto.
Aside from Thompson’s astute point that he’s finding certain levels in crypto to be “interesting” but not necessarily worth throwing “a dart on the dartboard,” Jauvin’s points about bitcoin’s potential performance caught my attention.
“ I’m bullish Bitcoin and crypto on a mean reversion basis, but for an explosion past all-time highs on — let’s focus on Bitcoin, ’cause I do think our asset class is getting old enough where we start piecing those apart separately,” he explained. To sum it up: Folks would have to bet against President Trump’s investment thesis if we want bitcoin to jump past all-time highs.
Basically, Jauvin argues that some of the things that aren’t great for macro — like the bond market and US dollar losing faith, and the Federal Reserve being forced to act — would be fantastic for bitcoin.
“These are factors that bitcoin was born for,” he noted.
It’s not stopping Jauvin from remaining bullish on things like stablecoins and the underlying technological advances pushing crypto forward, though.
“ People want alts to leverage Bitcoin a lot. You almost might be better off if you look at the stats and run the ratios of risk leveraging your Bitcoin,” Thompson explained.
Get the news in your inbox. Explore Blockworks newsletters:
- Blockworks Daily: Unpacking crypto and the markets.
- Empire: Crypto news and analysis to start your day.
- Forward Guidance: The intersection of crypto, macro and policy.
- 0xResearch: Alpha directly in your inbox.
- Lightspeed: All things Solana.
- The Drop: Apps, games, memes and more.
- Supply Shock: Bitcoin, bitcoin, bitcoin.
Upcoming Events
Brooklyn, NY
SUN – MON, JUN. 22 – 23, 2025
Blockworks and Cracked Labs are teaming up for the third installment of the Permissionless Hackathon, happening June 22–23, 2025 in Brooklyn, NY. This is a 36-hour IRL builder sprint where developers, designers, and creatives ship real projects solving real problems across […]
Industry City | Brooklyn, NY
TUES – THURS, JUNE 24 – 26, 2025
Permissionless IV serves as the definitive gathering for crypto’s technical founders, developers, and builders to come together and create the future.If you’re ready to shape the future of crypto, Permissionless IV is where it happens.
Old Billingsgate
Mon – Wed, October 13 – 15, 2025
Blockworks’ Digital Asset Summit (DAS) will feature conversations between the builders, allocators, and legislators who will shape the trajectory of the digital asset ecosystem in the US and abroad.
recent research
Research
Utilizing a ‘DeFi Mullet’ approach, Coinbase’s Bitcoin-backed loans integration with Morpho demonstrates a powerful blueprint for CEXs to monetize dormant assets by expanding adoption of wrapped products (cbBTC, USDC) while also supporting native and/or preferred DeFi ecosystems (Base) which can further lead to downstream growth in onchain liquidity and increased utilization of the related assets.
by Danny K
Kevin Rose said embedded wallets are a Digg feature “worth having there from day one”
by Kate Irwin /
April 11, 2025
The firm behind Helium announced that it reached a settlement with the SEC
by Katherine Ross /
April 11, 2025
SKALE’s Jack O’Holleran said that certain metrics are becoming more important to gauging the success of a project
by Katherine Ross /
April 11, 2025
Mary Gooneratne, co-founder of Solana DeFi startup Loopscale, wants to give blockchain borrow-lend a facelift
by Jack Kubinec /
April 10, 2025
BlackRock, Fidelity and others had their spot ETH EFTs approved, and we may see more crypto products come to market
by Ben Strack /
April 10, 2025
Search
RECENT PRESS RELEASES
Related Post