Why Marathon Digital (MARA) Is Up 16.9% After New Bitcoin Optimism and CEO’s Bullish Forec

October 3, 2025

  • Earlier this week, Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA) saw heightened investor interest after high-profile industry figures expressed confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term prospects and the company’s CEO projected prices above the $200,000 mark.

  • Options market activity and anticipation for September mining results also played a role, reflecting market optimism for MARA Holdings and broader Bitcoin-related stocks.

  • We’ll explore how this wave of Bitcoin enthusiasm and trading activity may influence Marathon Digital’s long-term investment outlook.

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To be a shareholder in MARA Holdings, you have to believe in the long-term potential of Bitcoin and confidence in MARA’s ability to capitalize on industry tailwinds through expanded infrastructure and technology partnerships. The latest surge in share price, driven by bullish Bitcoin forecasts and options activity, has fueled short-term optimism, but it does not significantly alter the main catalysts for the stock, including upcoming mining results. The biggest immediate risk continues to be MARA’s heavy reliance on Bitcoin price volatility, which could quickly shift sentiment if prices move against miners.

Among recent announcements, MARA’s plans to report September mining performance stand out. With investors already repositioning ahead of this update and mining results often acting as a bellwether for near-term stock momentum, market participants are poised to react to any deviation from production expectations. This data point remains closely linked to both bullish sentiment and ongoing business risks tied to Bitcoin output and pricing.

By contrast, what many investors may not fully appreciate is the extent to which intense competition in the mining sector could…

Read the full narrative on MARA Holdings (it’s free!)

MARA Holdings’ narrative projects $1.1 billion in revenue and $31.5 million in earnings by 2028. This requires 12.4% yearly revenue growth, but a sharp earnings decrease of $647.3 million from the current earnings of $678.8 million.

Uncover how MARA Holdings’ forecasts yield a $23.32 fair value, a 24% upside to its current price.

MARA Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
MARA Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Simply Wall St Community members have set fair value targets for MARA ranging from US$17.45 to US$74.31, with 11 perspectives included. Against this spectrum, MARA’s broad exposure to Bitcoin price shifts continues to shape market discussions and could have outsized influence on future performance, explore several viewpoints to see how opinions differ.

Explore 11 other fair value estimates on MARA Holdings – why the stock might be worth 7% less than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include MARA.

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