This year hasn’t been shaping up to be a great one for the crypto markets. Leading cryptocurrency Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has fallen more than 12%, and on Monday, it was trading below $77,000. It’s been a volatile ride after a strong year in 2025 that saw Bitcoin reach a record high of more than $126,000. Now, it’s down around 40% from that level.

The excitement seems to have evaporated, but in the crypto world, things can change quickly. And the good news is that there may be a catalyst around the corner that could be the spark that potentially gets Bitcoin rallying again, possible back up to $100,000.

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The passing of the Clarity Act would be a huge win for the crypto industry

The Clarity Act is an important piece of reform for the crypto markets that would help create a framework for cryptocurrencies, drawing important distinctions between what should be treated as a commodity versus a security. It would further legitimize the industry and protect investors and consumers.

Last week, the Clarity Act cleared the Senate Banking Committee, an important step for the bill. However, it still needs to fully clear both the Senate and House, and thus, the passing of the Act is by no means imminent or a sure thing, and it does face opposition.

But with the current administration appearing to be favorable toward crypto reform, there is hope that the bill may end up passing. If it does, that could lead to a surge in renewed bullishness around cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin.

Could Bitcoin get back to $100,000 this year?

Bitcoin is a speculative asset, and thus, a lot will hinge on the outlook for the crypto markets. And typically, cryptocurrencies and related investments do well when there’s a strong appetite for risk and speculation in the market. The passing of the Clarity Act could give Bitcoin a boost, but what happens with interest rates may also play an important role. If rates come down, that may incentivize investors to be more aggressive due to lower borrowing costs. If, however, rates rise due to concerns about inflation, then there may be continued downward pressure on Bitcoin.

It’s difficult to determine where Bitcoin may go since a lot ultimately depends on government actions. And it can be particularly risky to invest based on what you think the government might do. However, given how hot the stock market has been in recent years and inflation raising doubts about the path forward, I believe there will be more justification for exercising caution this year rather than high-risk speculation, which is why I expect Bitcoin may continue to fall in the weeks and months ahead. While Bitcoin might one day get back to $100,000, I don’t think that’ll happen anytime soon.